Taiwan War (Aiothai's Scenario)

Taiwan War
Part of Second Chinese Civil War
Clockwise from top: The Chinese invasion force lands at Taiwan; the sinking of the U.S. arms freighter; a Taiwanese soldier and U.S. drones during the Battle of Changhua; a U.S. drone fires on Chinese forces; a Chinese soldier guards a checkpoint in Kaohsiung
Date October 8th, 2026 - August 15th, 2029 Location Taiwan and surrounding ocean Result ROC and allies victory - PRC withdraws from Taiwan - Increased social unrest in PRC - PRC greatly weakened
Belligerents
Republic of China United States of America (airstrikes) Supported by: Japan The Philippines	People's Republic of China
Commanders
Jia Chao Ted Cruz (Until January 20th, 2029) Tom Cotton (Until January 20th, 2029) Erica Braxton (After January 20th, 2029) Tammy Duckworth (After January 20th, 2029)	Peng Lau
Strength
700,000	1,000,000
Casualties and losses
300,000	500,000

The Taiwan War was a war fought between the People's Republic of China and the Republic of China, following the PRC's invasion of Taiwan, the place of government of the ROC. The ROC was backed by the U.S. through weapons deals, until 2027, when the U.S. began hitting PRC targets with drone strikes and shipping the ROC quadcopter drones. Japan and the Philippines also sent weapons to Taiwan, while multiple other countries voiced support for the ROC.

Background

By the late 2020s, China was running out of allies. North Korea had fallen following a coup in 2022, while Pakistan was annexed by after a war in 2027. The Eurasian Union, in the meantime, while still remaining in BRICS and maintaining trade with the PRC, had begun to distance themselves from China, partly due to China's staunch communism and the E.A.U's capitalism.

The U.S., China's largest trading partner who also held a multi-trillion dollar debt to the nation, had become much more economically independent and had payed off a large portion of their debt to the PRC by 2025. China's once immense world influence, was slipping.

Xi Jinping's administration had seen a sharp spike in jingoism in China. Peng Lau, a self-described ultra-nationalist, continued Jiping's polices to the letter. Lau declared that Hong Kong and Macau would never see independence and threatened the western world, bombastically warning them to stay out of Asian affairs, or suffer consequences.

In 2026, Lau announced that Taiwan would be invaded in order to "unify China" and that the nation had become rogue. That same year, the U.S., Japan and the Philippines began sending weaponry and other aid to the ROC.