Land of Hope and Glory (Scenario)

One possible future of the United Kingdom.

Timeline

Getting Back On Two Feet

2025

• The Royal Family Act (2025) is passed, restricting the official definition of the Royal Family to those directly in line to the throne and their nuclear family. Furthermore, it allows for anyone in the Royal Family to resign from the Royal Family, but doing so revokes their right to call themselves royals.

2026

• A CANZUK free-movement area is negotiated, with VISAs no longer necessary and CANZUK citizens able to enter fellow CANZUK countries via the same immigration checkpoints as citizen arrivals.
• In preparation for the BBC's Royal Charter expiration next year, the Temporary Commission for Reducing Administrative Bloat (TCRAB) and the Temporary Commission for Consolidating Services and Reducing Redundancy (TCCSRR) are established to investigate their namesakes and publish reports that will be useful in reforming the BBC next year.
• The Police Act (2026) establishes the National Police Academy to train new recruits for the police departments across the country at a common standard while maintaining separate management, jurisdiction, and oversight of the departments themselves, in line with the British model of policing by consent.

2027

• The English local government electoral system is reformed with the implementation of an approval voting system. The Turing Commission on Electoral Reform is established to investigate alternate electoral systems for national elections.

2028

• As a result of the previous year's parliamentary committee on political diversity in the BBC, new hiring practices are introduced to improve political diversity within the news organisation.
• Nikki Haley (R) defeats Kamala Harris (D) and Tulsi Gabbard (Ind) to become President of the United States..

2029

• The Labour party wins a plurality of seats with a one-seat lead over the Conservative party. The SNP suffers a near total wipe-out. The Greens make moderate gains and a tenuous coalition is formed between Labour and the Liberal Democrats. Within months factional in-fighting within the Labour party and Lib-Dems respectively threatens not only to derail the coalition, but the parties themselves, as moderate back-benchers clash with more radical progressives in the front benches.

2030

• The leader of the Liberal Democrats resigns and, with the beginning of another leadership election, a number of centrist Liberal Democrat MPs defect to form their own party: the Liberal Party. The Liberals now hold more seats in Parliament than the Liberal Democrats. Infighting in the Labour party resumes as party leader Keir Starmer struggles to unite the party amidst dissent among moderates and threats of rebellion among radical Corbynites.
• The Labour-Liberal-Democrat coalition is now a minority government.

2032

• Nikki Haley (R) wins a second term as POTUS.

2034

• The Labour-Liberal Coalition passes the Higher Education Act (2034), negotiating standard prices for university degrees across the country with 85% of universities. 15% of universities do not participate. Additionally, an income-contingent repayment system is implemented for student loans, easing the debt pressure on students significantly.

Keep Calm And Carry On

2045

• As widespread civil unrest in the Arab world turns to civil war, British troops in the region are called back home though some are diverted to protect embassies from the rapidly escalating violence. Comfortingly, the value of British oil and gas exports quadruples as oil shortages due to the situation in the Arab world cause prices to rise sharply.

2046

• Britain, like the rest of the Western world, is forced to stand largely idly by and watch as casualties in the Pan-Arab Revolution surpass 30,000. British troops see some action in Egypt and Arabia as part of an evacuation of tourists and Western businesspeople.

2047

• Days after 94 year old Supreme Leader of China Xi Jinping dies in his sleep, the Three Gorges Damn bursts, flooding hundreds of cities and towns downstream. The wave of water and ensuing flooding kills 3 million people within hours, and makes a further 300 million people homeless overnight. Within months, millions more die from starvation as one of China's breadbaskets, the Yangtze River Delta is too inundated to be farmed. Asian stock markets crash and China's economy is projected to fall by 16%. The world's largest ongoing humanitarian disaster ensues. As the death toll climbs and the government attempts cover up after cover up, support for the CCP plummets dramatically. Eventually, a substantial section of the Armed Forces declares a rebellion, claiming that the CCP has lost the Mandate of Heaven. The 2nd Chinese Civil War ensues.
• Towards the end of the year, the Pan-Arab Revolution comes to a close in North Africa and Southern Arabia with democratic governments installed. War continues in Saudi Arabia as the House of Saud refuses to surrender.

Per Aspera Ad Astra

2065

• The Commonwealth Space WIP