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‹ 2024 2028 United States Presidential Election in Alabama (Billie Joe Armstrong vs. JD Vance) 2032 ›
2028 United States presidential election in Alabama
November 7, 2028
Turnout -
Nominee JD Vance Billie Joe Armstrong
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Ohio California
Running mate Ron DeSantis Gretchen Whitmer
Electoral vote 9 0
Popular vote 1,427,479 881,808
Percentage 60.91% 37.62%
President before election
Donald Trump
Republican
Elected President
Billie Joe Armstrong
Democratic

The 2028 United States presidential election in Alabama took place on Tuesday, November 7, 2028, as part of the 2028 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Alabama voters chose nine electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Republican President JD Vance and his running mate, incumbent Vice President Ron DeSantis, against Democratic challenger and Green Day frontman Billie Joe Armstrong and his running mate, Governor Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan. Also on the ballot was the Green nominee, physical and political activist Jill Stein, and her running mate Howie Hawkins, the trade unionist and environmental activist from New York. Write-in candidates were permitted without registration, and their results were not individually counted.

Prior to the election, all 14 news organizations making predictions considered this a state Vance would win, or otherwise a safe red state.

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R November 3, 2028
Inside Elections Safe R November 3, 2028
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R November 3, 2028
Politico Safe R November 3, 2028
RCP Safe R November 3, 2028
Niskanen Safe R November 3, 2028
CNN Safe R November 3, 2028
The Economist Safe R November 3, 2028
CBS News Likely R November 3, 2028
270towin Safe R November 3, 2028
ABC News Safe R November 3, 2028
NPR Likely R November 3, 2028
NBC News Safe R November 3, 2028
538 Safe R November 3, 2028

Polling[]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Billie Joe
Armstrong
Democratic
JD
Vance
Republican
Other/
Undecided
Margin
270 to Win September 1 – October 13, 2028 October 27, 2028 41.0% 60.0% 3.7% Vance +19.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2028 36.7% 58.6% 4.5% Vance +21.9
Average 38.5% 58.7% 4.4% Vance +20.2

Results[]

2028 Presidential Election in Alabama
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican JD Vance
(incumbent)

Ron DeSantis
(incumbent)

1,427,479 60.91% 0
Democratic Billie Joe Armstrong

Gretchen Whitmer

881,808 37.62% 0
Other Third-party candidates 34,425 1.47%

By county[]

County JD Vance
Republican
Billie Joe Armstrong
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Autauga 18,336 68.75% 7,858 29.46% 475 1.78% 0 0 26,669
Baldwin 82,756 92.5% 5,253 5.87% 1,458 1.63% 0 0 89,467
Barbour 5,365 51.49% 4,956 47.58% 97 0.93% 0 0 10,418
Bibb 7,254 76.7% 2,113 22.34% 91 0.96% 0 0 9,458
Blount 23,786 89.81% 2,448 9.24% 251 0.95% 0 0 26,485
Bullock 1,163 24.05% 3,635 75.18% 37 0.77% 0 0 4,835
Butler 5,274 55.8% 4,125 43.64% 53 0.56% 0 0 9,542
Calhoun 34,834 66.15% 17,142 32.55% 684 1.3% 0 0 52,660
Chambers 8,585 55.81% 6,613 42.99% 185 1.2% 0 0 15,383
Cherokee 10,254 83.41% 1,937 15.76% 103 0.84% 0 0 12,294
Chilton 17,226 83.39% 3,286 15.91% 144 0.7% 0 0 20,656
Choctaw 4,046 54.36% 3,337 44.83% 60 0.81% 0 0 7,443
Clarke 7,178 55.42% 5,710 44.09% 63 0.49% 0 0 12,951
Clay 5,285 76.76% 1,528 22.19% 72 1.05% 0 0 6,885
Cleburne 6,737 90.3% 638 8.55% 86 1.15% 0 0 7,461
Coffee 16,587 74.77% 5,311 23.94% 287 1.29% 0 0 22,185
Colbert 18,888 67.73% 8,648 31.01% 353 1.27% 0 0 27,889
Conecuh 3,145 50.38% 3,057 48.97% 41 0.66% 0 0 6,243
Coosa 3,477 63.37% 1,946 35.47% 64 1.17% 0 0 5,487
Covington 14,795 82.69% 2,954 16.51% 144 0.8% 0 0 17,893
Crenshaw 4,485 69.4% 1,912 29.58% 66 1.02% 0 0 6,463
Cullman 37,221 88.11% 4,511 10.68% 514 1.22% 0 0 42,246
Dale 14,099 71.53% 5,330 27.04% 281 1.43% 0 0 19,710
Dallas 5,616 30.61% 12,598 68.66% 134 0.73% 0 0 18,348
DeKalb 24,811 83.98% 4,412 14.93% 322 1.09% 0 0 29,545
Elmore 29,984 72.79% 10,697 25.97% 510 1.24% 0 0 41,191
Escambia 10,514 66.5% 5,142 32.52% 155 0.98% 0 0 15,811
Etowah 35,188 73.6% 12,001 25.1% 624 1.31% 0 0 47,813
Fayette 7,477 82.58% 1,500 16.57% 77 0.85% 0 0 9,054
Franklin 10,186 80.56% 2,322 18.36% 136 1.08% 0 0 12,644
Geneva 11,144 87.64% 1,467 11.54% 105 0.83% 0 0 12,716
Greene 777 15.79% 4,133 83.99% 11 0.22% 0 0 5,680
Hale 2,980 37.8% 4,866 61.73% 37 0.47% 0 0 7,883
Henry 6,338 67.81% 2,915 31.19% 94 1.01% 0 0 9,347
Houston 32,257 69.08% 13,774 29.5% 663 1.42% 0 0 46,694
Jackson 19,811 82.35% 3,989 16.58% 257 1.07% 0 0 24,057
Jefferson 140,142 42.49% 183,885 55.75% 5,795 1.76% 0 0 329,822
Lamar 6,322 83.55% 1,193 15.77% 52 0.69% 0 0 7,567
Lauderdale 30,594 69.44% 12,746 28.93% 717 1.63% 0 0 44,057
Lawrence 12,097 74.43% 3,995 24.58% 160 0.98% 0 0 16,252
Lee 40,844 56.7% 29,775 41.34% 1,410 1.96% 0 0 72,029
Limestone 33,857 68.36% 14,666 29.61% 1,001 2.02% 0 0 49,524
Lowndes 1,688 24.73% 5,107 74.81% 32 0.47% 0 0 6,827
Macon 1,748 18.08% 7,836 81.06% 83 0.86% 0 0 9,667
Madison 101,899 51.74% 90,111 45.75% 4,933 2.5% 0 0 196,943
Marengo 5,080 52.7% 5,744 46.61% 76 0.7% 0 0 10,900
Marion 13,053 86.24% 1,933 12.77% 149 0.98% 0 0 15,135
Marshall 33,595 83.27% 6,212 15.4% 539 1.34% 0 0 40,346
Mobile 100,538 54.02% 82,833 44.51% 2,735 1.47% 0 0 186,106
Monroe 5,932 54.9% 4,793 44.36% 80 0.74% 0 0 10,805
Montgomery 33,830 33.62% 65,388 64.98% 1,412 1.4% 0 0 100,630
Morgan 38,774 71.59% 14,537 26.84% 851 1.57% 0 0 54,162
Perry 1,599 27.99% 4,074 71.31% 40 0.7% 0 0 5,713
Pickens 5,216 53.98% 4,386 45.39% 61 0.63% 0 0 9,663
Pike 7,856 56.21% 5,944 42.53% 177 1.27% 0 0 13,977
Randolph 8,196 74.37% 2,737 24.83% 88 0.8% 0 0 11,021
Russell 9,912 41.28% 13,846 57.66% 254 1.06% 0 0 24,012
Shelby 78,865 68.56% 34,163 29.7% 2,005 1.74% 0 0 115,033
St. Clair 35,837 80.65% 8,003 18.01% 596 1.34% 0 0 44,436
Sumter 1,629 24.38% 4,999 74.82% 53 0.79% 0 0 6,681
Talladega 21,893 60.91% 13,744 38.24% 307 0.85% 0 0 35,944
Tallapoosa 14,535 69.69% 6,143 29.45% 179 0.86% 0 0 20,857
Tuscaloosa 49,522 54.5% 40,020 44.04% 1,328 1.46% 0 0 90,870
Walker 26,384 82.8% 5,131 16.1% 351 1.1% 0 0 31,866
Washington 6,194 70.58% 2,518 28.69% 64 0.73% 0 0 8,776
Wilcox 2,002 31.16% 4,390 68.33% 33 0.51% 0 0 6,425
Winston 9,987 89.41% 1,053 9.43% 130 1.16% 0 0 11,170
Totals 1,427,479 60.91% 881,808 37.62% 34,425 1.47% 0 0 2,343,712