2028 United States Presidential Election (Billie Joe Armstrong vs. JD Vance)

	‹ 2024 2032 ›
2028 Republican Party presidential primaries
February to June 2028
	2,429 delegates to the Republican National Convention 1,215 delegates needed to win
	Nominee before election; Donald Trump; 2024 Republican Nominee; JD Vance; 2028

	‹ 2024 2032 ›
2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries
February to June 2028
	4,222 delegates to the Democratic National Convention 2,248 delegates needed to win
	Nominee before election; Kamala Harris; 2024 Democratic Nominee; Billie Joe Armstrong; 2028

	‹ 2024 2032 ›
2028 United States presidential election
November 7, 2028
Turnout	-
	President before election; Donald Trump; Republican Elected President; Billie Joe Armstrong; Democratic

The 2028 presidential election was held in the United States on November 7, 2028. The Democratic ticket of Billie Joe Armstrong, the frontman for the American punk rock band Green Day, and Gretchen Whitmer, the 49th governor of Michigan, defeated the Republican ticket of JD Vance, the incumbent president, and Ron DeSantis, the incumbent vice president. Armstrong and Whitmer are scheduled to be inaugurated as the 48th president and the 51st vice president on January 20, 2029, after their formal election by the Electoral College.

Billie Joe Armstrong shocked the political world when he announced his candidacy for president of the United States on his social media accounts. His announcement was initially perceived as a joke by his fans and followers until he ran for the primary in the Democratic National Convention, in which he secured the nomination over several notable opponents, including former vice president Kamala Harris. Since Billie Joe Armstrong identifies as bisexual, he is the first openly LGBTQ+ president in history. During the Democratic National Convention, Armstrong selected Whitmer as his running mate.

Vance took office on July 13, 2027 following the assassination of former president Donald Trump, and generally continued his policies. He secured his nomination at the Republican National Convention and defeated former governor Nikki Haley in what was widely seen as a very close primary race. The Vance campaign was plagued with controversy, mostly due to many false and misleading statements, as well as racism from Ron DeSantis during the vice presidential debates, in which he slips out the N word. This incident led to mass condemnation from politicians across party lines. A change.org petition with nearly 10 million signatures was made demanding DeSantis to step down as vice president, making it one of the most signed petitions on the site. Despite this incident, DeSantis stayed in the race.

According to polls, the most important issues of the election were the economy, abortion, illegal immigration, LGBTQ+ rights, and Vance's unpopularity.

Assassination of President Donald Trump[]

On July 13, 2027, President Donald Trump was assassinated during his State of the Union address, and Vice President JD Vance became president immediately following the assassination under the presidential succession line.

Trump's death shocked and saddened many of his core supporters, while the other side was happy that the Trump dictatorship was finally over. Many opposing candidates were put in the awkward position of running against Vance following Trump's assassination.

Because of this event, little political activities were done by the candidates of either major party until January 2028, when the primary season officially began.

Nominations[]

Democratic Party[]

From February 1 to June 7, 2028, presidential primaries and caucuses were organized by the Democratic Party to select the delegates to the 2028 Democratic National Convention, to determine the party's nominee for president in the 2028 United States presidential election. The elections took place in all U.S. states, in the District of Columbia, in five U.S. territories, and as organized by Democrats Abroad. Billie Joe Armstrong, the frontman for the American punk rock band Green Day, won the Democratic nomination for president of the United States.

Early in the primary, many polling leaders considered Kamala Harris would have the highest chance of winning due to being the Democratic candidate in the 2024 presidential election. This changed however when Armstrong shockingly announced his presidential campaign on his social media accounts, leading to an unexpected national surge across the country in the polls. Armstrong won 41 out of the 50 states, losing to Harris in Alabama, Kentucky, Idaho, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Despite leading in most of the polls, Armstrong greatly overperformed expectations in various states, primarily New York and Texas. California was a very close race due to both candidates being from the state. However, Armstrong barely squeaked out a victory over Harris.

After winning the Pennsylvania primary on May 26, Armstrong passed the threshold of 2,248 delegates required to guarantee his nomination. By the end of the primary voting process, Armstrong had a commanding lead in the number of pledged delegates, ensuring a very smooth process for being declared the nominee. Armstrong received over 13 million votes. Armstrong's win is commonly attributed to the influx of millenial and Gen Z voters who voted for him, in addition to the amount of media coverage his campaign has received. Armstrong's sudden success in the Democratic primary has been considered by many polling leaders as one of the most shocking primary victories in American history.

On July 17, 2028, Armstrong and his running mate, Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer, were officially nominated as the Democratic presidential and vice presidential candidates at the Democratic National Convention. The pair won the general election on November 7, defeating the Republican Party ticket of former president JD Vance and his running mate, Ron DeSantis.

Nominee[]

Candidate		Most recent position	State	Campaign announced	Pledged delegates	Popular vote	Contests won	Running mate
Billie Joe Armstrong		Frontman of Green Day (1987-present)	California	August 11, 2027	3,324	13,195,293 (89.81%)	48, (AK, AZ, AR, AS, CA, CT, CO, DA, DE, DC, FL, GA, GU, HI, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MP, MT, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NV, NY, NC, OH, OR, PA, PR, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, VA, VI, VT, WA, WI)	Gretchen Whitmer

Withdrew during the primaries[]

Candidate		Most recent position	State	Campaign announced	Campaign suspended	Delegates won	Popular vote	Contests won
Kamala Harris		49th Vice President of the United States	California	May 20, 2027	May 19, 2028	311	1,497,453 (10.19%)	9, (AL, KY, ID, ND, NH, OK, UT, WV, WY)
Pete Buttigieg		19th United States secretary of transportation	Indiana	March 5, 2027	March 10, 2028	0	157,395 (0.62%)	0

Withdrew before the primaries[]

Candidate	Experience	State	Campaign announced	Campaign suspended
Gretchen Whitmer	49th Governor of Michigan (2019-2028)	Michigan	March 17, 2027	December 5, 2027 endorsed Armstrong
Tim Walz	41st Governor of Minnesota (2019-2025)	Minnesota	July 27, 2027	November 13, 2027
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	U.S. representative from NY-14 (2019-present)	New York	June 7, 2027	January 3, 2028 (endorsed Harris, then Armstrong as presumptive nominee)
Elizabeth Warren	U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–2028),	Massachusetts	April 14, 2027	January 11, 2028 (endorsed Armstrong)
Cory Booker	'U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present)	New Jersey	May 9, 2027	January 10, 2027
Josh Shapiro	48th Governor of Pennsylvania (2023–present)	Pennsylvania	July 4, 2027	November 25, 2027
Beto O'Rourke	U.S. representative from TX-16 (2013-2019)	Texas	August 13, 2027	January 1, 2028
Allan Lichtman	American historian	Maryland	September 10, 2027	November 11, 2027

Billie Joe Armstrong	Gretchen Whitmer
2028 Democratic Party ticket
for President	for Vice President

Frontman of Green Day (1987–present)	49th Governor of Michigan (2019-2028)

Republican Party[]

Presidential primaries and caucuses of the Republican Party took place within all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories between January 15, 2028, and June 4, 2028. These elections selected most of the 2,429 delegates to be sent to the Republican National Convention. Incumbent president JD Vance was nominated for president of the United States.

Despite a primary race with an incumbent president, this race was very close. Several candidates emerged as competition to JD Vance, including Nikki Haley, the former Ambassador to the United Nations, Tim Scott, the United States senator from South Carolina, and Mike Pence, the 48th Vice President of the United States. Tim Scott and Mike Pence were consistently behind in the polls, but Nikki Haley was seen as huge competition to JD Vance. Towards the end of 2027, Haley briefly surpassed Vance in the polls, but quickly fell behind towards the start of 2028. Most political analysists considered this race a tossup, as Vance and Haley were both neck and neck in most polls, with Vance having a very slight lead. After the results of the Iowa caucus where Tim Scott and Mike Pence were at a very distance third and fourth place, they both dropped out of the race and endorsed Haley.

After winning the New York primary, Vance passed the threshold of 1,215 delegates needed to win the nomination for President of the United States. With how close this election was, this primary remains to be one of the most closest primaries with an incumbent president in American history. Speculation regarding the closeness of this primary is largely attributed to Vance's poor approval ratings, with his approval ratings being among the lowest in American history.

On July 15, 2024, Vance and his running mate, Ron DeSantis, were officially nominated as the Republican presidential and vice presidential candidates at the Republican National Convention. The pair lost the general election on November 5, losing to the Democratic Party ticket of Green Day frontman Billie Joe Armstrong and his running mate, Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer.

Nominee[]

Candidate		Most recent position	State	Campaign announced	Pledged delegates	Popular vote	Contests won	Running mate
JD Vance		48th President of the United States (2027–2029)	Ohio	November 20, 2027	1,228	17,136,236,(53.11%)	28, (AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, FL, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, MS, MO, MT, ND, NE, NH, NY, OH, OK, SD, TN, UT, VA, WV, WI, WY)	Ron DeSantis

Withdrew during the primaries[]

Candidate	Most recent position	State	Campaign announced	Campaign suspended	Delegates won	Popular vote	Contests won
Nikki Haley	U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018)	South Carolina	February 14, 2028	May 30, 2028	835	15,127,324 (46.89%)	21, (AS, CT, CO, DA, DE, DC, GA, GU, HI, IL, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MP, NJ, NM, NV, NC, OR, PA, PR, RI, SC, TX, VI, VT, WA)
Mike Pence	48th Vice President of the United States (2017-2021)	Indiana	June 17, 2027	January 21, 2028 (endorsed Haley)	27	2,389,432 (5.4%)	0
Tim Scott	United States Senator from South Carolina (2013-present)	South Carolina	March 10, 2027	January 21, 2028 (endorsed Haley)	3	69,483 (0.38%)

Withdrew before the primaries[]

Candidate	Experience	State	Campaign announced	Campaign suspended
Ron DeSantis	51st Vice President of the United States (2027-2029)	Florida	March 26, 2027	January 13, 2028 endorsed Vance
Greg Abbott	48th Governor of Texas (2015-2028)	Texas	May 26, 2027	December 3, 2027 endorsed Vance
Ted Cruz	U.S. senator from Texas (2013-2028)	Texas	March 28, 2027	November 19, 2027
Rand Paul	U.S. senator from Kentucky (2011-2028)	Kentucky	June 14, 2027	November 22, 2028 (endorsed Vance)
Marco Rubio	U.S. senator from Florida (2011–2028)	Florida	July 10, 2027	January 7, 2028 (endorsed Vance)
Kanye West	Rapper (1996–present)	Wyoming	July 27, 2027	October 28, 2027

JD Vance	Ron DeSantis
2028 Republican Party ticket
for President	for Vice President

48th President of the United States (2027–2029)	51st Vice President of the United States (2027-2029)

Green Party[]

The Green Party nominated American physician and activist Jill Stein as its presidential nominee, and nominated Howie Hawkins, the trade unionist and environmental activist from New York, as its vice-presidential nominee.

Jill Stein	Howie Hawkins
2028 Green Party ticket
for President	for Vice President

Physician and political activist	Trade unionist and environmental activist

Libertarian Party[]

The Libertarian Party nominated Chase Oliver, who was the Libertarian nominee for Senate in Georgia in 2022, as its presidential nominee, and nominated Jacob Hornberger, the Founder and President of the Future of Freedom Foundation, as its vice-presidential nominee.

Chase Oliver	Jacob Hornberger
2028 Libertarian Party ticket
for President	for Vice President

Nominee for U.S. Senator from Georgia in 2022	Founder and President of the Future of Freedom Foundation

General Election[]

Issues[]

Vance's Unpopularity[]

According to many political analysts, Vance's approval ratings were in the tank. Many Americans felt that Vance was one of the worst presidents of all time. Vance's unpopularity is largely due to a culmination of several unpopular policies, including the aftermath of Project 2025, the mass deportations under the Trump administration, the national abortion bans across the country, and the lack of charisma at campaign events. Polls consistently showed him with an approval rating of as low as -5O. Due to his unpopularity, the Republican primaries were largely competitive. Once Vance officially won the nomination, Republicans across the country felt largely demotivated, which resulted in an easy, yet surprising, victory for Armstrong.

The Economy[]

Following the events of Trump's inaguration in 2024, the country was met with a global recession. Many Democrats blamed Trump for the current economic position of the country, while some Republicans were disappointed in the economy failing to live up to their perceived expectations. With Vance taking over as president in 2027, many of the blame was put on him as well.

Inflation peaked after the events of the Trump assassination, which greatly hurt Vance's popularity across party lines. Most political analysts considered the economic position of the country the most severe economic and financial meltdown since the Great Recession in the late 2000s.

On Election Day, Armstrong beat Vance with voters on the issue of the economy, making Armstrong the first Democrat since Obama in 2008 to win on the economy issue. Armstrong's win was attributed to Vance's poor handling of the recession and Armstrong hitting back on the claims that Democrats are worse for the economy over Republicans.

Abortion[]

Legal abortion was one of the most important issues coming in to this election. Soon after Trump was inagurated in 2025, Trump issued a national abortion ban across the country. This decision infuriated women across party lines. Several women were greatly upset by this decision and saw this as a huge step backward for women's rights. Republican women were equally upset about this decision after previously thinking Trump would be a bit more moderate on the issue. This year saw an increase in Republican women who were hiding their votes from their Trump-supporting husbands, noting abortion as their primary issue this election.

During the 2028 presidential campaigns, Vance defended Trump's decision on the matter, noting abortion as a sinful act of murder and vowed to keep these bans in place during his administration. This stance led to even further unpopularity from Vance. Alternatively, Armstrong held firm on his belief that abortion should be free and accessible, and promised to not only repeal these national abortion bans, but to also repeal the overturning of Roe vs. Wade and Dobbs. Armstrong's strong stance on abortion led to growing popularity amongst women voters, who are avidly pro-abortion.

During election day, Armstrong handily won on the abortion issue.

Illegal Immigration[]

Illegal immigration was one of the biggest issues of the election according to most Americans. While Republicans were initially seen as stronger on immigration policy during the last two presidential elections, this sentiment amongst Americans took a massive hit after Trump's mass deportations under Project 2025. Several Americans across the country were greatly upset with the separation of immigrants from their families, which led to mass social unrest in various states. Several politicians across party lines greatly condemned Trump for his immigration policies and rather racist rhetoric. Like with the abortion issue, Vance defended Trump on this issue, noting that illegal immigrants are dangerous and harm American workers.

Armstrong slammed Vance on the illegal immigration issue hard, nothing that "these mass deportations under the Vance administration is an utter disgrace". Armstrong advocated for a path to citizen ship for immigrants as long as they entered the United States legally. Armstrong also wanted to reverse some of the deportations ennacted by the Vance administration, as many legal immigrants were unfairly deported and separated by their families.

On the immigration issue, Armstrong beat Vance on the immigration issue. Although some Americans wish Armstrong had stronger border policy, Vance's stance on the matter was just so unpopular that this gave Armstrong the easy edge on this issue.

LGBTQ Rights[]

Prior to Trump's inaugration, several anti-LGBTQ laws were put in to effect. This includes the rescindal of President Biden's Title IX protections "on day one" for transgender students using bathrooms, locker rooms, and pronouns that align with their gender identities, and his federal law that would recognize only two genders. His stance and policies were universally panned by several members of the LGBTQ+ community, noting that Trump's rhetoric was extremely dangerous and harmful to the community. Like with several other issues, Vance defended Trump on his decisions indicating that their are only two genders, and that transgender students need to use the bathrooms and pronouns that align with their assigned gender at birth. Vance also vowed to overturn Obergefell v. Hodges while also pushing for a Federal Marriage Amendment.

Armstrong, a noted bisexual, strongly condemned Trump and Vance's stance on their position of LGBTQ+ rights and noted that it would be a huge step backwards for the rights of the LGBTQ+ community if Vance is elected into office. Armstrong promised to overturn several of Trump's anti-transgender laws and also pushed for an amendment that would recognize transgender citizens as the gender they identify with.

As expected, Armstrong won big on LGBTQ+ rights, leading to a high increase of turnout amongst LGBTQ+ Americans who were upset with the bans enacted by Trump and Vance. Armstrong's stance on LGBTQ+ rights, as well as Armstrong being part of the community himself, led to some of the highest amounts of turnout amongst LGBTQ+ Americans of all time.

Debates[]

From 1976-2020, every presidential election featured at least one televised debate between the nominees of the major parties. From 1976-1984, such debates were held by the League of Women voters, but from 1988-2020, they were held by the Commission on Presidential Debates.

The DNC and the RNC were not able to come to any agreement for holding presidential debates, and therefore, it was nearly impossible to ever be scheduled during the 2028 election cycle. On July 1, 2028, incumbent President Vance and Billie Joe Armstrong engaged in a debate hosted by CNN. Most political analysts considered this debate an even match. Both candidates made very fair points to the American people, while also remaining somewhat civil. Some of Armstrong's biggest supporters were a little disappointed that he didn't go as hard on Vance as he should have. Armstrong reassured his base that he promised to hit Vance harder during a second debate that he requested not long after.

A second debate was held on September 13, 2028 in Dallas, Texas. During these debates, Armstrong came in much more prepared than last time, and hit Vance on a lot of important stances while also criticizing him for his lack of new and original policies. Meanwhile, Vance stumbled up his words and gave a lot of empty-handed answers that did not resonate with a lot of voters at home. Vance also made several misleading and false statements, like calling Armstrong a communist and blaming "the radical left" for the current economic condition of the country. Unlike in 2024, most Americans weren't buying it, as many felt it was Vance's fault for the way the economy is the way it is. Many analysts thought Armstrong handily won this debate.

Gretchen Whitmer and Ron DeSantis also had a debate in an event hosted by Fox News on October 7th. This debate was largely controversial as DeSantis slipped up by referring to African Americans by the N word. This incident was largely condemned by politicians all across party lines, with several notable Republicans pressuring DeSantis to step down as vice president following the backlash. DeSantis double downed on this incident a day later by stating that some people tend to slip up and say things they don't mean, while Vance would go on to defend his stance. He later clarified that he wasn't a racist and just made a huge mistake in his wording. Regardless, several African American voters were largely upset, and Vance took a massive hit in the polls following this incident. Protests were made in the aftermath of this debate, and a change.org petition was made with over 10,000,000 signatures pressuring DeSantis to step down as Vice President. Armstrong later condemned DeSantis for this incident, claiming that racists shouldn't be anywhere close to controlling the government. Prior to this incident, this debate was seen as largely insignificant, and both candidates made their cases to the American people. In the aftermath, many considered Whitmer to be the winner of this debate. Despite all of the backlash and controversy, DeSantis stayed in the race.

Because of the Vice Presidential debate, many Americans see it as a major contributing factor to Armstrong's win. Several Republicans also blamed DeSantis for their side losing the election, claiming that they could have had a better shot of winning had he dropped out of the race instead of staying in.

13 Keys To the White House[]

The 13 Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.

The system is a thirteen-point checklist that assesses the situation of the country and political system ahead of a presidential election: when five or fewer items on the checklist are false, the incumbent party nominee is predicted to win the election, but when six or more items on the checklist are false, the challenging party nominee is predicted to defeat the incumbent party nominee in the election.

Some of the items on the checklist involve qualitative judgment, and therefore the reliability of this system relies heavily on the knowledge and analytical skill of whoever attempts to apply it. Using the system, Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcomes of every presidential election since 1984. Here is the result of the 13 Keys in 2028, in which Lichtman correctly predicted that Billie Joe Armstrong would defeat President JD Vance.

#	Key	True/False
1	Midterm gains: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.	True
2	No primary contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination (nominee gets 2/3rds of delegates on 1st ballot).	False
3	Incumbent seeking re-election: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.	True
4	No third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.	True
5	Strong short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.	False
6	Strong long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.	False
7	Major policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.	True
8	No social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.	False
9	No scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.	False
10	No foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.	False
11	Major foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.	True
12	Charismatic incumbent: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.	False
13	Uncharismatic challenger: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.	True
BILLIE JOE ARMSTRONG PREDICTED TO WIN		7 FALSE

Results[]

Electoral results[]

**Electoral results**
Presidential Candidate	Party	Home State	Popular Vote		Electoral vote	Running mate
Presidential Candidate	Party	Home State	Count	Percentage	Electoral vote	Vice-presidential candidate	Home state	Electoral vote
Billie Joe Armstrong	Democratic	California	0	0	0	Gretchen Whitmer	Michigan	0
JD Vance	Republican	Ohio	0	0	0	Ron DeSantis	Florida	0
Jill Stein	Green	Massachusetts	0	0	0	Howie Hawkins	New York	0
Chase Oliver	Libertarian	Georgia	0	0	0	Jacob Hornberger	Texas	0
Other			0	0	-	Other		-
Total			0	0	538			538
Needed to win					270			270

Results by state[]

Legend
States won by Armstrong/Whitmer
States won by Vance/DeSantis
EV	Electoral votes
†	At-large results (for Maine and Nebraska, which both split electoral votes)

Results by state
State or district	Armstrong/Whitmer Democratic			Vance/DeSantis Republican			Others			Margin		Margin	Total votes
State or district	Votes	%	Electoral votes	Votes	%	Electoral votes	Votes	%	Electoral votes	Votes	%	%	Total votes
Alabama	881,808	37.62%	-	1,427,479	60.91%	9	34,425	1.47%	-	0	0	0	2,343,712
Alaska	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Arizona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Arkansas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
California	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Colorado	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Connecticut	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Delaware	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
District of Columbia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Florida	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Georgia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Hawaii	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Idaho	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Illinois	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Indiana	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Iowa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Kansas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Kentucky	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Louisiana	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Maine †	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ME-1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ME-2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Maryland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Massachusetts	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Michigan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Minnesota	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Mississippi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Missouri	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Montana	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Nebraska †	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
NE-1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
NE-2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
NE-3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Nevada	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
New Hampshire	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
New Jersey	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
New York	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
North Carolina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
North Dakota	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Ohio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Oklahoma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Oregon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Pennsylvania	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
South Carolina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
South Dakota	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Tennessee	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Texas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Utah	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Vermont	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Virginia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Washington	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
West Virginia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Wisconsin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Wyoming	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	Armstrong/Whitmer Democratic			Vance/DeSantis Republican			Others			Margin		Margin swing	Total votes

Polling[]

Predictions[]

Publisher	Date	Prediction
2024 result	Nov 5, 2024	D: 226, R: 312
2028 result	Nov 7, 2028	D: -, R: -
Cook Political Report	Oct 28, 2028	D: 292, R: 156, Tossup: 145
Inside Elections	Oct 28, 2028	D: 343, R: 135, Tossup: 83
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Nov 2, 2028	D: 317, R: 221, Tossup: 0
Politico	Nov 2, 2028	D: 279, R: 163, Tossup: 96
RealClearPolitics	Oct 29, 2028	D: 210, R: 131, Tossup: 193
CNN	Nov 2, 2028	D: 287, R: 175, Tossup: 103
The Economist	Nov 3, 2028	D: 327, R: 171, Tossup: 47
CBS News	Nov 1, 2028	D: 279, R: 180, Tossup: 101
270toWin	Nov 3, 2028	D: 292, R: 176, Tossup: 105
ABC News	Nov 2, 2028	D: 313, R: 137, Tossup: 99
NPR	Oct 30, 2028	D: 287, R: 135, Tossup: 140
NBC News	Oct 27, 2028	D: 287, R: 140, Tossup: 141
Decision Desk HQ	Nov 3, 2028	D: 308, R: 181, Tossup: 79
FiveThirtyEight	Nov 2, 2028	D: 325, R: 176, Tossup: 43

2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries
‹ 2024 2032 ›
February to June 2028

Nominee	Billie Joe Armstrong	Kamala Harris
Home state	California	California
Electoral vote	3,324	311
States carried	41 + DC + 5 territories + D.A.	9
Popular vote	13,195,293	1,497,453
Percentage	89.81%	10.19%


4,222 delegates to the Democratic National Convention 2,248 delegates needed to win
Nominee before election Kamala Harris 2024 Democratic Nominee Billie Joe Armstrong 2028