Note: If you don't agree with me please don't argue.
2024 If Trump is Elected: I really think if Trump gets re-elected a Democrat will win 2024 very easily. I am assuming Trump will make the same mistakes he is right now and the media will continue to attack him. Democrats who could get the nomination in 2024 are: Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, Andrew Cuomo, Andrew Yang, Joe Kennedy III, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Pete Buttigieg are all likely nominees Imo. Some Republicans are: Nikki Haley, Mike Pompeo, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Paul Ryan, and Mike Pence are some likely Republicans. I feel like Kamala Harris and Nikki Haley are very likely nominees as many female politicians are coming along and in 2024 we could see the first female president! If a Democrat loses 2024 with Trump being president It would be very very close.
2024 If Biden is Elected: If Biden is elected I see him only running for 1 term due to age. I feel like his Vice President will get the nomination. I feel like these 5 women have a chance to be the vice president/ 2024 nominee: Kamala Harris, Val Demings, Susan Rice, Elizabeth Warren, or Tammy Duckworth. Once again even if Biden loses 2020 I still see his failed vice president getting the nomination. If Biden wins the chances of a 2024 Democratic win might be a little lower than if Trump wins but still is up there. In 2024 if Biden wins I'd still give Democrats a 53% of winning. I feel like someone who worked for Trump at one point has a high chance. For example: Nikki Haley, Paul Ryan, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and basically the same people. It also depends on what a Biden presidency would look like. I am going to assume it is average and not the best, If it's like that I'd still give Democrats a 51% chance of winning. If Biden's presidency is a mess I'd give the Republicans a 57% chance of winning. And if Biden's presidency is great I'd give Democrats a 60%.