Talk:Scenario: Filipino-Chinese War/@comment-26154170-20160115082725

This is the most implausible bullshit I've ever seen.
 * 1) China is over-dependent on export growth, primarily due to low savings rate and other factors. Once countries place sanctions on Chinese exports, then China will experience economic collapse. China is bound to collapse later, due to its high bad debt rate, high nonperforming loans rate, and how Chinese people value social relations over economic discipline.
 * 2) China is highly import-dependent too. It lacks sufficient raw materials for rapid industrial expansion (it stripped much of its supply decades ago).
 * 3) China cannot project its power due to it being bordered by impassable terrain, the Himalayas and the dry Xinjiang province to the West, Siberia and the Gobi desert to the North, ocean to the East, and thick jungle and the Himalayas to the South. In addition it's surrounded by a dozen or so highly sino-phobic nations that are allied with the United States.
 * 4) China has poor military technology, and despite higher manpower, is weaker than the United States in terms of overall military strength,
 * 5) As I've said before, Chinese aggression will cause economic collapse due to tariffs and sanctions. China isn't held together by ideology, but by money. Once China economically collapses, so does the grip of Beijing.
 * 6) China has little ambitions in dominating the region, and actually wants to integrate with the existing world system and make a bigger role for China.