Talk:US Senate Elections, 2016 (Joe's World)/@comment-25816873-20141205091257

Agreements and disagreements. Kirk, Johnson, and Toomey are dead men walking. Rubio actually didn't get a majority last time out, so he's in trouble as well. Kelly Ayotte won by a large margin -- she's not as vulnerable as her blue state status might indicate, but Hassan might take her down. Burr and Portman are also less vulnerable unless there's a wave election.

I expect McCain and Grassley to retire. A Democrat should win IA, a Republican AZ. Both will be close, and largely depend on who the nominees are. Reid and Bennet are somewhat vulnerable -- again, it depends on the nominees. I would be very surprised if Arkansas elected a Democrat and would faint dead away if Landrieu won in LA.

I'm predicting the 2017 Senate will be 52-48 Democratic.