User:Davidbw58

So here are my senate predictions explanations:


 * Republicans can rely on the following:


 * Mississippi with Roger Wicker.
 * Nebraska with Deb Fischer.
 * Wyoming with John Barrasso.
 * Utah with Mitt Romney.


 * And Dems can count on these:


 * California, (Fienstien may lose, but it will definitely stay democratic, unless an independent miraculously pulls it off)


 * Washington with Maria Cantwell
 * Hawaii with Mazie Hirono
 * New Mexico with Martin Heinrich
 * Minnesota with Amy Klobuchar
 * New York with Kirsten Gillibrand
 * Vermont with Bernie Sanders (an independent caucusing with Dems)
 * Maine with Angus King (an independent caucusing with dems)
 * Massachusetts with Elizabeth Warren
 * Rhode Island with Sheldon Whitehouse
 * Connecticut with Chris Murphy
 * Delaware with Tom Carper
 * Maryland with Ben Cardin


 * These are likely democratic:


 * Virginia with Tim Kaine (Virginia is growing more democratic rapidly, sending it to Kaine)
 * New Jersey with Bob Menendez (with his scandal, he may face primary challenge, but it's almost certain to stay democratic regardless)
 * Michigan with Debbie Stabenow (Popular, but Trump won Michigan so it isn't Quite Safe)
 * Minnesota special with Tina Smith (She is popular)


 * These are likely republican:


 * Texas with Ted Cruz (Beto is popular, but Cruz is even more. I don't think O'Rourke will quite make it).
 * Mississippi special with (likely) Cindy Hyde-Smith (She and McDaniel will be fighting each other hard giving Espy an advantage, but he's unlikely to reach 50%, sending him and Hyde-Smith to a runoff where she'd beat him easily.


 * These are lean democratic:


 * Wisconsin with Tammy Baldwin (She has scandals and is being put to a lot, but I think she'll narrowly pull it off)
 * Pennsylvania with Bob Casey (Lou Barletta is a strong candidate, plus Trump's help, but as of now, Casey would beat him. as we get closer it may change).
 * Nevada with Jacky Rosen (I think she'll defeat Dean Heller since he's unpopular, and voters will likely listen to Harry Reid)


 * These are lean republican:


 * Tennesee with Marsha Blackburn (yes, Bredesen is in the race, but Trump is helping hard, and Tennesee is blood red. Bredesen was last elected 12 years ago, and Tennesee is more republican now than then.
 * North Dakota with Kevin Cramer (He is a very popular congressman and has won widely several times, plus has lots of help. Heitkamp won the last time by only 0.9%, since that republican had scandals. Plus Cramer is leading.)
 * Missouri with Josh Hawley (He is a popular AG, and McCaskill is disliked. Hawley has no scandals, the Missouri governor has scandals that are reflecting off of Hawley. and he's leading.)
 * Indiana with Mike Braun (I think voters will listen to Mike Pence, the former governor.)


 * These are tossups:


 * Ohio with Jim Renacci vs Sherrod Brown Renacci is a strong candidate, but faces an uphill climb to beat Brown, we'll see as we get closer.)
 * Montana with Jon Tester vs Matthew Rosendale (Tester is very liberal, but Rosendale may not be strong enough to beat him. we'll see as we get closer.)
 * Arizona with Kyrsten Sinema vs TBD (It's a tossup, both in polls and all over the state.)
 * Florida with Rick Scott vs Bill Nelson (with Scott running, it is very competitive, and good news for the GOP, he's leading in the polls. No projections.)

Those are my predictions! They will change from time to time! Thanks for viewing!