Talk:United States presidential election, 2020 (Sins of our Trump)/@comment-24660155-20190122090847/@comment-5553246-20190124223421

Yes but remember, "the odds of him getting re-elected are slim" also happened to be what was said about Bill Clinton and he A) got wiped out in his first mid term B) had to deal with a ton of scandals C) wasn't able to keep all his promises. Conventional wisdom tells us the incumbent President typically wins re-election. As long as a recession doesn't happen before then, he's likely to win a second term. As for Doug Jones, he got lucky in a special election. In a race for six years, he doesn't stand a chance. Remember, Scott Brown had a 70% approval rating when he was in office, but he was from a blue state and that came back to bite him.