Talk:United States presidential election, 2020 (Sins of our Trump)/@comment-24660155-20190122090847/@comment-5553246-20190210013739

AnimeNerd2017 with the economy going steady and the fact that most Presidents get re-elected, yes it would be unusual if Trump lost. And there are plenty of electoral strategies Trump could use to win in 2020. He's already favored to win Florida, Ohio, Iowa and North Carolina. As long as he holds Arizona (which I suspect he will) he could win two/three of the rust belt states, or win 1/3 and pick up Minnesota. And before you say "that's a long shot" Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin were all long shots. A for his disapproval ratings I have to redirect you to 2016 when Hillary Clinton was leading Trump by almost 20 points just weeks before election day. Many Trump voters likely didn't participate in polling or simply lied about their vote, as is common in many elections. The same is likely true in disapproval ratings. Mind you, Nancy Pelosi has EXTREMELY bad approval numbers but the threat of a Pelosi Speakership wasn't enough to stop voters from electing enough Democrats to take over the House. Trump's approval numbers don't mean squat if the Dems nominate someone who can't connect with voters, and Kamala Harris (who I suspect could have a solid chance of being the nominee) can't connect with voters. She'd be John Kerry 2.0. Also, yes polls did show he was the most unpopular candidate history. To be fair, the polls did show Clinton to be the second most unpopular candidate in history. But just because he's polarizing doesn't mean he'll loose.