Talk:2024 U.S. Election (Jake's World)/@comment-46351040-20200917230109/@comment-46351040-20200917232729

Yes, it’s 1.4 lead, but again consider the previously stated points, then realize Biden is doing exactly zero ads in Texas, and that in 2016 the polls where off far outside the margin of error (4 points nationally) and whose to say the margin is wider this election? Also, polls aren’t everything, and 538 (your source) has a terrible liberal bias. Furthermore, in 2016, a poll in Texas showed Trump up three points. This was off by about ten. The margins may tighten, but Texas won’t go blue until the late 2020 (ie 2028) at the absolute earliest.