2022 U.S. Midterms (Jake's World)

Overall
The 2022 U.S. Midterms took place on November 8th, 2022.

Senate
The 2022 United States Senate elections were held on November 8, 2022, with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the United States Congress from January 3, 2023, to January 3, 2029. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 3 senators were last elected in 2016, and will be up for election again in 2022.

All 34 Class 3 Senate seats are up for election in 2022; Class 3 currently consists of 14 Democrats and 20 Republicans.

Republicans only needed to gain 1 seat to be the majority which many analysts said was a very easy goal. Despite the GOP raising more money in 8 of the 10 most competitive senate elections they underperformed on election night. The Democrats flipped Pennsylvania while holding onto Nevada, Arizona and Georgia while the GOP only gained New Hampshire. Following 12 AM on November 9th the Democrats would flip Wisconsin and North Carolina giving them 52 seats to the GOP's 48.

Predictions
Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors use:


 * "tossup": no advantage
 * "tilt" (used by some predictors): minimal, smallest advantage
 * "lean": slight advantage
 * "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
 * "safe": near-certain chance of victory

House elections
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 8, 2022. Elections were held to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. A non-voting delegate from the District of Columbia and the four of the five inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 Senate elections, will also be held on this date. The winners of this election will serve in the 118th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2020 United States census. Democrats have held a majority in the House of Representatives since January 3, 2019, as a result of the 2018 elections, when they won 235 seats. However, their majority was reduced to 222 seats in the 2020 elections.

Going into the election the GOP was expected to gain an average of 27 seats across the country but the polls had overestimated the GOP since on election night they only gained 9 seats. The GOP's biggest win of the night was from Oregon where Alek Skarlatos defeated incumbent, Peter DeFazio by 1,146 votes, 2 days later that race would be retracted and not called for 3 weeks. In the end the GOP took control with 225 seats and Democrats only getting 210.

Democrats

 * 1) Arizona 1: Tom O'Halleran retired.
 * 2) Arizona 2: Ann Kirkpatrick retired.
 * 3) Arizona 7: Ruben Gallego retired to run for governor of Arizona.
 * 4) California 12: Nancy Pelosi retired.
 * 5) California 17: Ro Khanna retired to run for senate.
 * 6) California 30: Brad Sherman retired.
 * 7) Connecticut 3: Rosa DeLauro retired.
 * 8) Florida 5: Al Lawson retired.
 * 9) Florida 7: Stephanie Murphy retired to run for senate.
 * 10) Florida 10: Val Demings retired to run for senate.
 * 11) Florida 13: Charlie Crist retired to run for governor of Florida.
 * 12) Georgia 13: David Scott retired.
 * 13) Illinois 1: Bobby Rush retired.
 * 14) Illinois 7: Danny K. Davis retired.
 * 15) Illinois 9: Jan Schakowsky retired.
 * 16) Iowa 3: Cindy Axne retired to run for senate.
 * 17) Maryland 2: Dutch Ruppersberger retired.
 * 18) North Carolina 4: David Price retired.
 * 19) Ohio 13: Tim Ryan retired to run for senate.
 * 20) Pennsylvania 16: Conor Lamb retired to run for senate.
 * 21) Texas 20: Joaquin Castro retired to run for governor of Texas.
 * 22) Texas 30: Eddie Bernice Johnson retired.
 * 23) Texas 34: Filemon Vela Jr. retired.
 * 24) Wisconsin 3: Ron Kind retired to run for senate.

Republican

 * 1) Alabama 5: Mo Brooks retired to run for senate.
 * 2) Arizona 6: David Schweikert retired.
 * 3) Florida 1: Matt Gaetz retired.
 * 4) Georgia 10: Jody Hice retired to run for Georgia Secretary of State.
 * 5) Michigan 10: Lisa McClain retired to run for governor of Michigan.
 * 6) Missouri 8: Jason Smith retired to run for senate.
 * 7) Nevada 2: Mark Amodei retired to run for governor of Nevada.
 * 8) New York 1: Lee Zeldin retired to run for governor of New York.
 * 9) New York 23: Tom Reed retired.
 * 10) North Carolina 13: Ted Budd retired to run for senate.
 * 11) Oklahoma 3: Frank Lucas retired.
 * 12) Pennsylvania 14: Guy Reschenthaler retired to run for senate.
 * 13) Texas 8: Kevin Brady retired.

Resignations

 * 1) Florida 16: Vern Buchanan (R) resigned following a finance scandal.
 * 2) Massachusetts 1: Richard Neal (D) resigned after losing renomination.

Democrats

 * 1) California 52: Scott Peters lost a redistricting contest to Sara Jacobs, who went on to win the general election.
 * 2) Maryland 5: Steny Hoyer lost renomination to Mckayla Wilkes, who went on to win the general election.
 * 3) Massachusetts 1: Richard Neal lost renomination to Alex Morse, who went on to win the general election.
 * 4) Michigan 13: Brenda Lawrence lost a redistricting contest to Rashida Tlaib, who went onto win the general election.

Republicans

 * 1) Florida 11: Daniel Webster lost renomination to Anthony Sabatini, who went on to win the general election.
 * 2) Georgia 14: Marjorie Taylor Greene lost renomination to John Cowan, who went on to win the general election.
 * 3) Illinois 13: Darin LaHood lost redistricting contest to Rodney Davis, who went on to win the general election.
 * 4) Illinois 16: Adam Kinzinger lost renomination to Catalina Lauf, who went on to win the general election.
 * 5) Ohio 16: Anthony Gonzalez lost a redistricting contest to Bob Gibbs, who went on to win the general election.
 * 6) Pennsylvania 14: Fred Keller lost a redistricting contest to Glenn Thompson, who went on to win the general election.
 * 7) West Virginia 2: David McKinley lost a redistricting contest to Alex Mooney, who went on to win the general election.

Gubernatorial
The 2022 United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 8, 2022, in 36 states and three territories.

As most governors serve four-year terms, the last regular gubernatorial elections for all but two of the seats took place in 2018. The governors of New Hampshire and Vermont, each of whom serves two-year terms, ran in the 2020 elections. The 2022 gubernatorial elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections.

Partisan composition
Going into the election, there was 27 Republican governors and 23 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors was made up of 20 Republicans and 16 Democrats.

In contrast to 2018, where Republicans were defending eight seats in states that Donald Trump won in 2016, Republicans hold six seats in states won by Joe Biden in 2020. Meanwhile, Democrats were defending one governorship in the last midterm elections won by Trump in 2016 and were defending one governorship Trump won in 2020.

Election predictions
Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each state, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat.


 * "tossup": no advantage
 * "tilt" (used by some predictors): minimal, smallest advantage
 * "lean": slight advantage
 * "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
 * "safe": near-certain chance of victory