Talk:US Senate Elections, 2016 (Joe's World)/@comment-139.67.65.213-20141126200906

A 10 seat flip would be historic, but then again, Clinton as the likely first woman President in US history would also be a historic election. Also, until income inequality is addressed, voters are going to keep swinging wildly from one wave election to the next, so I expect the Republicans to take it on the chin next time around. Another issue is that the Republicans are defending a large number of seats in blue or purple states - during a Presidential year turnout when Democratic voters actually bother to vote - and with a possibly history-making candidate at the top of the Democratic ticket. There are definitely factors here for a massive swing back to the Democrats in 2016.

I fully expect Kirk (IL), Johnson (WI), Toomey (PA) are already DOA, which means the 2016 Senate will be *at least* 50/50. Nunn (D) could win in GA during a presidential year turnout, as could Hagan (D) in NC, and Hassan (D) in NH. If Rubio retires in FL that seat is up for grabs, particularly if Crist runs for it. I'd be surprised if Landrieu can come back to win in LA in 2016 but supposedly she's one of the best campaigners. Grimes will need to learn to campaign a lot better if she hopes to win KY's open seat.