Talk:World War 3 (DJK95)/@comment-30470028-20200903210958/@comment-24660155-20200904165926

Even if 35% of the country is totally and unoquivically dedicated to him, that's still not enough. I hope you realize the 40 odd percent of people who voted for him in 2016 are not completely and absolutely MAGA. There might be some Republicans reticent to give their support to him publically, but it's not going to shrink Biden's lead massively. Just the other day it came out the majority of 2016 Johnson and Stein voters said they're not voting third party, and they're voting for Biden. Again, most numbers that show Biden beating Trump are larger than those in 2016.

Nate Silver, one of the most accurate election pundits said Biden has 7 in 10 odds of coming out on top. I'm not saying there's literally no chance Trump wins, but I'm an odds person, and anyone who says Trump's the odds on favorite or likely to be reelected is unaware of all the facts or being intellectually dishonest (not saying you're in the latter camp).