User talk:GS

Hi, GS! Welcome to the Wiki and thanks for the writeup on Gantt chart. This should be expanded more, because this is possibly going to be one of the most useful prediction methods in the mid-term future.
 * Yes it should be expanded. And corrected.
 * I am not sure it can be called predicting. I would name it 'accessibility analysis' or something like that.
 * BTW why _mid-term_ future? Are there short- and long-term future? That's the difference?
 * --GS 15:05, 1 Sep 2005 (UTC)
 * In my understanding short term is things that are already happening - you don't care that much about what goes after what, because all these things are already in the works.
 * I would agree with that - if we defined properly what is "is happening".
 * Let us consider an example: A young man does non know what he is going to do today evening. He is throwing a coin. If the coin is on head he is going to gym, otherwise he is going to library. If he went to gym he will spend there one hour and then we will decide what to do with his friend. If he went to library he will be there 3 hours till it is closed.
 * For me these visits to gym and library both "are happening" because we know under what condition it happens, how much time it takes and what will be done. So form - the near future is something for which we can predict the event path, time it will happen and so on.
 * And the long-term is when you concentrate on what is physically (chemically/biologically/etc.) possible and basically assume that it will be done somehow.
 * Other words - you don't know the events path going to the event from the long term future (and hence don't know when it happens and how it happens).
 * It's the middleground, the mid-term (10-30 years) future when the interplay of different technologies influence drastically how our future would be like. Paranoid 12:09, 2 Sep 2005 (UTC)
 * I would not talk about years. For technology development we have one way of ranging the future, for the military operation - another one.
 * --GS 16:14, 7 Sep 2005 (UTC)
 * Agree. Paranoid 12:32, 8 Sep 2005 (UTC)