Talk:2018 U.S Senate elections (Porvenir)/@comment-24660155-20181107205013

Perhaps my projections for Democrats in the Senate were a bit overly optimistic. I predicted that Trump's polarizing presidency in addition to these being midterms would save Heitkamp, Donnelly, McCaskill, and Nelson with coattails. Kavanaugh was an unforseen factor, and even now I'm amazed that voting against an alleged rapist could lead to unpopularity among a Senator's electorate. However, I'm still quite proud of my predictions for a multitude of reasons:

1. Democrats held out in Montana, New Jersey, and Nevada, and control the House. This was certainly no "Red Wave" and I wouldn't be disappointed with last night's results at all were I a Democrat.

2. Beto O'Rourke made the race close just as I anticipated, and has opened many doors in the future for himself. I'm going to call it right now and say that this is Cruz's final term. Barely winning as a Republican incumbent in Texas is nothing to be proud of, and Democrats are in a  great position to pick him off in 2024 with a Hispanic Dem (O'Rourke, one of the Castro twins, Rafael Anchia, Trey Martinez Fischer...)

3. Just as Gary Johnson desired, his 15% tally in New Mexico is yet another major milestone for third-party candidate, and positions a Libertarian, Independent or Green to win in 2020 or 2022.

On to 2020! :D